The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (2023)

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (1)

John F. Trent


YouTuber and box office analyst OMB Reviews explained this for The Walt Disney CompanyThe little mermaidis "a huge flop for Disney" after the film hit the box office in its second weekend.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (2)

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(L-R): Halle Bailey as Ariel and Jonah Hauer-King as Prince Eric in Disney's live action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

In a video on last weekend's box office, OMB Reviews opened up: "The Little Mermaid is down 58% domestically and still doing next to nothing internationally." And let's just say the film wasn't basically just a flop but will also be a massive flop for Disney and ultimately could become one of the worst-performing films in its entire history."

He argues, "Of course, this is all because a lot of people fail when they look at the box office, especially at the comparisons."Aladdinto remember that ticket prices in 2019 were very different than today. And of course the inflation rate has changed as well, as everyone likes to hear and wants to be inspired by again and again.”

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Laut The-Numbers,The little mermaidBox office sales in domestic theaters for the second weekend fell 58% to just $40.6 million. Its three-day opening weekend, Memorial Day Weekend, grossed $95.5 million. Total domestic box office takings are currently $186.2 million.

The little mermaidhas increased its international total byDeadline Reportingit grossed $42.3 million in its second weekend. The film grossed just $68.3 million internationally in its opening weekend. Total international box office receipts are $140.5 million.

The film's worldwide gross is $326.7 million. It reportedly had a production budget of $250 million. That means the film is still in the red, and as OMB Reviews notes, it doesn't look like it's going black any time soon.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (3)

(L-R): Halle Bailey as Ariel and Scuttle (voiced by Awkwafina) in Disney's live-action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

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When comparing the film withAladdin, which opened in theaters on Memorial Day weekend in 2019, OMB Reviews tells OMB Reviews, "Based on tracking and percentage, I'm guessing that this movie could make maybe $300 million domestically." Maybe. We still have to wait and see if that will happen at all.”

"But ultimately, $300 million domestically might sound decent on paper, especially when you compare it to a movie likefast x,But look at the international number. TheAladdinThe film grossed $788 million internationally in 2019," he continued.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (4)

(L-R): Jonah Hauer-King as Prince Eric and Halle Bailey as Ariel in Disney's live action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

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"Until nowThe little mermaidonly made $140 [million] and that means domestically best case maybe $300, $350 million, best case scenario,” analyzed OMB Reviews. You're looking at an international best-case scenario of $250 [million US dollars]. Is that generous I think?”

“You add up these numbers. That doesn't get you to $625 million, which is the break-even point. So, yeah, overall it's not looking goodThe little mermaidin the future,” he explained.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (5)

(L-R): Halle Bailey as Ariel and Jonah Hauer-King as Prince Eric in Disney's live action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo by Giles Keyte. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

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Later in the video, OMB Reviews shared their breakdown of the film and its box office results. First, he explained his process: "If maybe you've never followed my chart, years ago I was able to break down that most films, most films, either take 70% of their total box office within the first two weeks or they don't." have really strong legs. If they have a really strong box office, they will generate half of their total box office in the first two weeks. Of course there are exceptions to this, but on average the vast majority of films are somewhere between 70% and 50%.”

"So let's say that $326 million is 70% of the total box office for The Little Mermaid. That means the end result - and that's a very likely scenario for this film - would be $466 million worldwide," he explains.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (6)

(L-R): Scuttle (voiced by Awkwafina), Flounder (voiced by Jacob Tremblay) and Halle Bailey as Ariel in Disney's live-action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

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"Best case scenario so let's say it doubles the money, best case scenario it would be $650 million," he continued. "This is a best-case scenario. We can already see in our legs that this film doesn't last to this extent. It is not doubling or doubling what has been achieved so far. But even if it did, $650 million would be a minimal gain and, according to some metrics, a financial loss. It really depends on whether your breakeven is 2.5x or 3x budget.”

"So even if it were 'making money,' it still wouldn't be nearly enough to make up any discrepancies either way because it would be such a minimal win that it actually didn't mean that much." It still wouldn't be a financial loss,” explained OMB Reviews.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (7)

(L-R): Halle Bailey as Ariel and Jonah Hauer-King as Prince Eric in Disney's live action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

(Video) The Little Mermaid Giant Ursula Scene #thelittlemermaid

He then shared his prediction of how much the film will gross worldwide: "More likely, I'd say somewhere in the region of $500 million is probably what this film can expect, especially based on the declines that I think we're seeing." At best, the average is actually around $550 million to $560 million."

"What does that mean given the massive budget of $250 million? That means I'm currently assuming the film will lose around $100 million but could gross up to $17 million. Again, a multiplier of 2.5 is used. You could obviously imagine this movie still losing money if it had a 3x multiplier," explained OMB Reviews.

"On average, I expect this film to lose between $50 million and $100 million, and that's the minimum," he explained.

The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst (8)

(L-R): Halle Bailey as Ariel and Javier Bardem as King Triton in Disney's live action THE LITTLE MERMAID. Photo courtesy of Disney. © 2023 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved.

What do you think of the box office results for The Little Mermaid? What do you think of the analysis of OMB Reviews? How much do you think the film will gain or lose?

NEXT:A box office analyst predicts that The Little Mermaid will "end up being a box office flop" and could lose $50 million to $100 million

  • (Video) The Little Mermaid (2023) - Ending Scene - Ariel Vs Ursula (HD)
  • FAQs

    The Little Mermaid has been called a "huge flop for Disney" by one box office analyst? ›

    According to The-Numbers, The Little Mermaid's box office gross fell 58% in its second weekend at domestic theaters to just $40.6 million. It grossed $95.5 million in its 3-day opening weekend during Memorial Day Weekend. The total domestic box office now sits at $186.2 million.

    Is The Little Mermaid a flop? ›

    Regardless of the reasons for the backlash and the film's box office performance, the numbers don't lie. The Little Mermaid, which has presently grossed approximately $326 million at the worldwide box office, is a box office failure for Disney.

    Is The Little Mermaid a box office success? ›

    Globally, the film has now brought in an estimated $327 million, with $186 million of that coming domestically and $141 million driven by international audiences, according to Comscore. China, the world's second largest box office, has contributed a negligible amount.

    How did The Little Mermaid do at the box office? ›

    How did Little Mermaid do at box office 2023? ›

    Box Office Revenue of The Little Mermaid 2023

    The film made a significant impact during its opening weekend, grossing an estimated $163.5 million, which includes a three-day opening of $95.5 million domestically and an international box office collection of $68.3 million.

    Is The Little Mermaid 2023 successful? ›

    The Little Mermaid movie revieThe Little Mermaid" makes a stunning live-action comeback, ruling the Memorial Day box office with a projected $118 million debut.w: Halle Bailey stars as Ariel in the new live-action film.

    What is the highest grossing Disney movie of all time? ›

    The Lion King (remake)

    What movie had the biggest box office success? ›

    With a worldwide box-office gross of over $2.9 billion, Avatar is proclaimed to be the "highest-grossing" film, but such claims usually refer to theatrical revenues only and do not take into account home video and television income, which can form a significant portion of a film's earnings.

    Did the Little Mermaid save Disney? ›

    Along with the major success of both Disney's 1986 animated film The Great Mouse Detective and the 1988 Disney/Amblin live-action/animated film Who Framed Roger Rabbit, The Little Mermaid is given credit for breathing life back into the art of Disney animated feature films after some films produced by Disney were ...

    Why was The Little Mermaid so popular? ›

    The Little Mermaid is a beloved animated classic for its catchy music, bright animation, and strong heroine. The film is responsible for jump-starting Disney's Golden Age of animation, their '90s renaissance, and for good reason.

    How much money has Little Mermaid 2023 made? ›

    Critics praised the performances of the cast and the musical sequences but criticized the visual effects and character designs. The film has grossed over $328 million worldwide against a total production budget of $250 million.

    How much did Disney spend on The Little Mermaid? ›

    All that watery magic didn't come cheap. “The Little Mermaid” has a $250 million production budget, so it will need to keep attracting crowds around the globe in order to break even. Internationally, the film grossed $68.3 million from 51 material markets.

    How much has The Little Mermaid made at the box office? ›

    When did The Little Mermaid lose her head? ›

    The headless mermaid

    Twice she has lost her head, once the arm was sawn off, and several times she has had paint poured on her.

    How did The Little Mermaid originally end? ›

    In the end, when she cannot bring herself to kill the prince with the dagger, she prepares to throw herself into the sea. Neptune himself intervenes and says that for her selfless act, she has earned the right to become a mermaid again and rejoin her family, giving the story a happy ending.

    Will the Little Mermaid 2023 be on Disney plus? ›

    The 2023 live-action movie will only be available in theaters starting May 26. That means if you want to watch it ASAP. However, it will be available to stream on the Disney+ platform soon. Disney+ typically follows a 90-day period before its theatrical releases come to the streaming platform.

    Why did Chloe Grace Moretz quit The Little Mermaid? ›

    “I pulled the plug on all my movies because I want to reassess who I am and find myself within my roles again,” said Moretz. “I'm realizing that I can slow down.”

    What is the controversy over the new Little Mermaid movie? ›

    Some social media users criticized the fish for looking too lifelike and emotionless—a criticism that was once wielded against the 2019 CGI-animated remake of The Lion King, which opened to mixed reviews from critics who said the realistic appearance of the film failed to capture the emotion of the original.

    What Disney movie loses $100 million? ›

    Disney's 'Strange World' to Lose $100 Million in Theatrical Run.

    What is the lowest grossing Disney movie? ›

    Disney has released several films considered box office flops, and some of them are even among the biggest flops ever made.
    • 'Treasure Planet' (2002) ...
    • 'Around the World in 80 Days' (2004) ...
    • 'The Alamo' (2004) ...
    • 'A Christmas Carol' (2009) ...
    • 'Mars Needs Moms' (2011) ...
    • 'John Carter' (2012) ...
    • 'The Lone Ranger' (2013)
    Sep 6, 2022

    What Disney movie has the highest ratings? ›

    All Disney Animated Theatrical Movies Ranked by Tomatometer
    • #1. Pinocchio (1940) 100% #1. ...
    • #2. Zootopia (2016) 98% #2. ...
    • #3. One Hundred and One Dalmatians (1961) 98% #3. ...
    • #4. Dumbo (1941) 98% #4. ...
    • #5. Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (1937) 97% #5. ...
    • #6. Moana (2016) 95% #6. ...
    • #7. Aladdin (1992) 95% #7. ...
    • #8. Fantasia (1940) 95% #8.

    What was the first movie to make $1 billion dollars? ›

    Titanic became the first movie to gross over $1 billion worldwide on March 1, 1998, in 74 days of release. The list below is restricted to the 10 movies that reached the milestone the fastest.

    What's the lowest grossing movie of all time? ›

    Zyzzyx Road
    CountryUnited States
    Budget$1.2 million
    Box office$30
    12 more rows

    What movie has made the least money? ›

    These are the movies that grossed the lowest amount of money this century relative to the number of cinemas they screened at.
    1. 1 'The Rhythm Section' (2020)
    2. 2 'Copshop' (2021) ...
    3. 3 'Hoot' (2006) ...
    4. 4 'The Hunt' (2020) ...
    5. 5 'The Many Saints of Newark' (2021) ...
    6. 6 'Strange Magic' (2015) ...
    7. 7 'Bros' (2022) ...
    8. 8 'Firestarter' (2022) ...
    May 2, 2023

    How many movies have made $2 billion dollars? ›

    Only 6 movies have ever hit $2 billion at the box office — here they all are.

    Who is the biggest box office actress of all time? ›

    Scarlett Johansson

    Will Avatar 2 beat Titanic? ›

    Avatar 2 beats Titanic for third highest-grossing film of all time.

    What saved Disney in the 80s? ›

    The creation of the more adult-oriented Touchstone Pictures in the early '80s helped saved the studio from a financial standpoint, but animation kept churning out mediocre product. The 1985 animated film The Black Cauldron was ambitiousOpens in new tab, but also was a huge flop for Disney animation.

    What film saved Disney? ›

    You'd never know from their high status in pop culture that Pinocchio, Dumbo, and Bambi were all flops during their initial theatrical runs. That's why even if you love Cinderella, you may not be aware that the film accomplished something remarkable. The film saved Disney.

    Which Princess saved Disney? ›

    Not only did The Little Mermaid help usher in the Disney renaissance, an era of unparalleled critical and commercial success, it also helped save the studio.

    What is the message of Disney's The Little Mermaid? ›

    There's No Dream Too Big or Too Small

    Aside from the mistakes and challenges she went through, she still achieved her goal and got to explore the human world. The lesson here is that if we were to give up during challenges, we would never reach our dreams.

    What race is Ariel in the original Little mermaid? ›

    Ariel (The Little Mermaid)
    FamilyKing Triton (father) Queen Athena (mother) Attina, Alana, Adella, Aquata, Arista and Andrina (older sisters) Ursula (paternal aunt in some media)
    SpousePrince Eric
    13 more rows

    How old is Ariel when she gets married? ›

    Occasionally she meant to turn back and return to Eric, but somehow it never happened. The feeling that he once inspired in her was now how she felt about the wider world. She also finally figured out that she was only sixteen when they got married, and you know, people change.

    Who owns The Little Mermaid? ›

    The Little Mermaid (franchise)
    The Little Mermaid
    Created byWalt Disney Animation Studios Ron Clements John Musker
    Original workThe Little Mermaid (1989)
    OwnerThe Walt Disney Company
    15 more rows

    Who is Ariel's dad in The Little Mermaid 2023? ›

    Javier Bardem as King Triton

    Javier Bardem, a renowned actor, is cast as King Triton, Ariel's father. Bardem, known for his compelling performances in villainous roles, brings depth and complexity to Triton, a character who opposes Ariel's fascination with the human world.

    How much did it cost to make the new Little mermaid movie? ›

    The movie cost a reported $250 million to produce (minus marketing), which means that there is an ocean currently separating it from success.

    What Disney Princess movie made the most money? ›

    10 Highest-Grossing Disney Princess Movies Ever Made
    1. 1 Frozen II (2019) — $1.45B. Walt Disney Pictures.
    2. 2 Frozen (2013) — $1.28B. ...
    3. 3 Beauty and the Beast (2017) — $1.26B. ...
    4. 4 Aladdin (2019) — $1.05B. ...
    5. 5 Maleficent (2014) — $758.5M. ...
    6. 6 Moana (2016) — $645M. ...
    7. 7 Tangled (2010) — $592M. ...
    8. 8 Cinderella (2015) — $542M. ...
    Jan 29, 2023

    What was the most expensive Disney Princess movie? ›

    Walt Disney first considered making Sleeping Beauty in the late 1930s, but it was not placed into production until the early 1950s. It took nearly a decade and $6 million to produce the film, which made it the most expensive Disney animated feature at that time.

    How much did Halle Bailey get paid for The Little Mermaid? ›

    Halle Bailey was reportedly paid 25 times that amount for starring as the red-headed mermaid Ariel in The Little Mermaid. The actress was compensated a whopping $1.5 million, according to Showbiz Galore.

    How much did Shrek make in the box office? ›

    The debut film in the series, 2001's Shrek, may lie toward the bottom of this list, but just like Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, that should not be interpreted as a failure by any means. The film opened to just over $40 million domestically and went on to gross nearly $500 million worldwide, off a budget of $50 million.

    How much did Spiderman across the Spiderverse make? ›

    Already, “Across the Spider-Verse” has generated $208 million worldwide, including $88.1 million at the international box office. It cost $100 million.

    How much did Ocean's 11 make at the box office? ›

    What is the mental illness in The Little Mermaid? ›

    In the movie The Little Mermaid (Clements & Musker, 1989), Ariel displays symptoms of disposophobia, which is defined as the fear of getting rid of things.

    Who is the little girl with mermaid syndrome? ›

    Sirenomelia, also called mermaid syndrome, is a rare congenital deformity in which the legs are fused together, giving the appearance of a mermaid's tail, hence the nickname.

    Who is the black hair girl in Little Mermaid? ›

    'The Little Mermaid': How Halle Bailey's Locs and Extensions Were Created For Live-Action Film.

    Did The Little Mermaid do well? ›

    Disney's “The Little Mermaid” hooked nearly $96 million over its first three days in North American theaters. That opening is on par with the $91 million “Aladdin” secured in 2019 on its way to more than $1 billion at the global box office.

    Was The Little Mermaid popular? ›

    The Little Mermaid was released to theaters on November 17, 1989, to critical acclaim, earning praise for the animation, music, and characters. It was also a commercial success, garnering $84 million at the domestic box office during its initial release, and $235 million in total lifetime gross worldwide.

    How much has The Little Mermaid grossed? ›

    What is the evil thing from Little Mermaid? ›

    Pat Carroll was the voice actress of Ursula from 1989 to her death in 2022, with her final role as Ursula being posthumous in Disney Dreamlight Valley.

    How much did the little mermaid cost to make 2023? ›

    How old is Ariel boyfriend? ›

    Ariel and Eric

    Ariel was just 16 in The Little Mermaid when she made a deal with the sea witch Ursula so she could pursue Prince Eric, who was 18, on the land!

    Who is playing Little mermaid 2023? ›

    Top row: Halle Bailey, Jonah Hauer-King, Melissa McCarthy, and Javier Bardem portray Ariel, Eric, Ursula and King Triton. Bottom row: Noma Dumezweni plays Queen Selina, while Daveed Diggs, Jacob Tremblay, and Awkwafina voice Sebastian, Flounder and Scuttle.

    Which Disney Princess is the oldest? ›

    Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs came out in 1937, debuting the very first Disney princess with Snow White herself.

    What is the controversy with the new Little mermaid movie? ›

    It's far from the first time the film has attracted controversy: Bailey, a Black woman, was a victim of racist backlash in response to her casting as Ariel; some expressed disappointment that a drag queen was not cast in the role of Ursula, a character based on the drag performer Divine; and still other viewers of the ...

    Why did The Little Mermaid give up her voice? ›

    In the 1989 animation, Ariel gives up her voice to Ursula the sea witch in exchange for legs. While Ariel is hesitant, Ursula reminds her that she will have no need for her voice above water.

    What horror movie is based on Little Mermaid? ›

    The Lure (2015 film)
    The Lure
    Screenplay byRobert Bolesto
    Based onThe Little Mermaid by Hans Christian Andersen
    Produced byWłodzimierz Niderhaus
    StarringKinga Preis Michalina Olszańska Marta Mazurek Jakub Gierszał Andrzej Konopka Zygmunt Malanowicz Marcin Kowalczyk Magdalena Cielecka Katarzyna Herman
    14 more rows

    Did Esther Williams do her own dives in Million Dollar mermaid? ›

    A double was used for all three of Esther Williams' plunges in the mammoth Smoke number directed by Busby Berkeley.

    How much did The Little Mermaid ride cost? ›

    Walt Disney Imagineering has begun installing the audio-animatronic figures in the new $100-million Little Mermaid dark ride at Disney California Adventure in advance of the attraction's June 3 debut.


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